Ice-Outs Over the Years
When you think about ice, it consists of two common atoms: hydrogen and oxygen. Hydrogen (H2) is the most abundant element in the universe, and it is also the fuel that powers all stars, including our own Sun. In massive, continous thermonuclear reactions, the hydrogen is converted to helium plus a release of radiation. When the radiation reaches the Earth, it keeps everything warm and comfy (at least in the summertime). Oxygen (O2) is the gas that makes up 20% of our atmosphere. Without it no animal could exist.
When God combined these two gases, He created water and lots of it. (Visit your nearest ocean to see for yourself.) The unique feature of water is that when it cools to its freezing point (32oF/0oC), the hydrogen bonds start to push the water molecules apart slightly, forming hexagonal-shaped crystals (think of snow flakes) with space in between. Solid water (AKA ice) is about 9% less dense than liquid water, so, voila, it floats.
Thank God for that unique bit of chemistry. It allows us to put our bob houses on the big lake and, in the Spring, watch the ice slowly melt.
Ice-Out on Lake Winnipesaukee is the date when the lake ice melts enough so that the M/S Mount Washington cruise ship can navigate from Alton Bay to Center Harbor, Weirs Beach, Meredith and Wolfeboro.
Ice-Out is considered the traditional start of the Spring season and island residents can once again reach their cottages to set them up for the summer. Records of this date go back over 130 years to 1887. The Ice-Out date and time is non-scientific and is now determined by an airplane observer who files over the lake several times a day. The pilot essentially makes the official call.
CAUTION |
No matter what the official date is, the water is still freezing cold, so utmost boating safety is advised.
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Click on the image to the right to view a graph that shows the historical trend for ice-out dates.
The odd aspect of the graph is that the dates keep alternating between late March/early April at the earliest and mid-April to early May at the latest not the kind of trend you can attribute to global warming. In addition, the most frequent date is April 20th which appears 10 times. Recent late March dates (2010, 2012, and 2016) may be outliers compared to other recent dates that fall between early and mid April. Time will tell.
Data for the graph comes from the following tables.
Year |
Date |
1887 |
May 7 |
1888 |
May 12 |
1889 |
April 14 |
1890 |
April 24 |
1891 |
April 23 |
1892 |
April 11 |
1893 |
May 10 |
1894 |
April 20 |
1895 |
April 26 |
1896 |
April 23 |
1897 |
April 23 |
1898 |
April 14 |
1899 |
May 2 |
1900 |
April 26 |
1901 |
April 20 |
1902 |
April 4 |
1903 |
April 2 |
1904 |
April 29 |
1905 |
April 24 |
1906 |
April 26 |
1907 |
April 29 |
1908 |
April 21 |
1909 |
April 19 |
1910 |
April 6 |
1911 |
May 2 |
1912 |
April 23 |
1913 |
April 17 |
1914 |
April 15 |
1915 |
April 24 |
1916 |
April 16 |
1917 |
April 28 |
1918 |
April 24 |
1919 |
April 24 |
1920 |
April 24 |
|
Year |
Date |
1921 |
March 28 |
1922 |
April 17 |
1923 |
April 24 |
1924 |
April 18 |
1925 |
April 10 |
1926 |
May 2 |
1927 |
April 13 |
1928 |
April 19 |
1929 |
April 18 |
1930 |
April 7 |
1931 |
April 11 |
1932 |
April 20 |
1933 |
April 25 |
1934 |
April 21 |
1935 |
April 21 |
1936 |
April 8 |
1937 |
April 25 |
1938 |
April 17 |
1939 |
May 4 |
1940 |
May 4 |
1941 |
April 16 |
1942 |
April 18 |
1943 |
April 30 |
1944 |
May 3 |
1945 |
April 1 |
1946 |
March 30 |
1947 |
April 24 |
1948 |
April 10 |
1949 |
April 8 |
1950 |
April 20 |
|
Year |
Date |
1951 |
April 14 |
1952 |
April 20 |
1953 |
April 3 |
1954 |
April 16 |
1955 |
April 19 |
1956 |
May 5 |
1957 |
April 3 |
1958 |
April 13 |
1959 |
April 26 |
1960 |
April 19 |
1961 |
April 27 |
1962 |
April 24 |
1963 |
April 20 |
1964 |
April 28 |
1965 |
April 22 |
1966 |
April 20 |
1967 |
April 20 |
1968 |
April 15 |
1969 |
April 25 |
1970 |
April 28 |
1971 |
May 6 |
1972 |
May 2 |
1973 |
April 16 |
1974 |
April 16 |
1975 |
April 25 |
1976 |
April 16 |
1977 |
April 23 |
1978 |
April 27 |
1979 |
April 26 |
1980 |
April 17 |
|
Year |
Date |
1981 |
April 5 |
1982 |
April 29 |
1983 |
April 10 |
1984 |
April 20 |
1985 |
April 14 |
1986 |
April 16 |
1987 |
April 12 |
1988 |
April 16 |
1989 |
April 25 |
1990 |
April 22 |
1991 |
April 8 |
1992 |
April 21 |
1993 |
April 22 |
1994 |
April 23 |
1995 |
April 15 |
1996 |
April 17 |
1997 |
April 24 |
1998 |
April 7 |
1999 |
April 8 |
2000 |
April 10 |
2001 |
May 2 |
2002 |
April 5 |
2003 |
April 25 |
2004 |
April 20 |
2005 |
April 20 |
2006 |
April 3 |
2007 |
April 23 |
2008 |
April 23 |
2009 |
April 12 |
2010 |
March 24 |
|
Year |
Date |
2011 |
April 19 |
2012 |
March 23 |
2013 |
April 17 |
2014 |
April 23 |
2015 |
April 24 |
2016 |
March 18 |
2017 |
April 17 |
2018 |
April 26 |
2019 |
April 24 |
2020 |
April 6 |
2021 |
April 5 |
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Dates are derived from https://www.winnipesaukee.com/index.php?pageid=iceout
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